Blu-ray In China? Not So Fast
June 12, 2008
In February 2008, Toshiba announced it would stop producing HD DVD products,
ending the two year war between HD DVD and Sony's Blu-ray. With the imminent
arrival of the 2008 Beijing Olympics, sales of high definition products is
growing rapidly, and Blu-ray looks to have a bright future.
While Blu-ray is the
standard versus HD DVD, the question is how strong are Blu-ray products
poised in the China markets? The answer may not be as clear as it first
appears.
Price is too high and
Blu-ray content lacking.
The price is currently too
high for the average Chinese consumer; the threshold is too high to for what
otherwise would be a "good enough" viewing experience with much lower priced
DVD players.
Compounding the price issue
is the relative lack of content for Blu-ray. The challenge then becomes
two-fold: lower prices and more content. While these challenges will
eventually be overcome, the question is whether the time lag is enough to
allow other high definition solutions to develop in China.
High definition video
transmission and downloads offer alternatives.
China's broadcast, cable,
and satellite operators are upgrading their infrastructure to deliver high
definition programming and to solve low bandwidth concerns. More high
definition content will be available. While Blu-ray may have a slight edge
in quality, its products may risk being pushed to the high-end niche market.
High definition online and
cable on-demand viewing via set-top boxes are also faster growing
alternatives. Explosion of online video websites, while not necessarily in
high definition, is inculcating video viewing habits over optical disc
content. Moreover, the Chinese consumer is more likely to have their own
digital libraries, in which audio, video, and text will be stored, managed
searched, and viewed.
The race may come down to
providing faster bandwidth versus lowering Blu-ray prices with more content.
CH-DVD another possible
alternative.
CH-DVD (China High
Definition DVD) is also a high definition optical disc format proposed by
the Optical Memory National Engineering Research Center (OMNERC) of Tsinghua
University in China back in September 2007.
There are similarities
between CH-DVD and Toshiba's HD DVD. By agreement, Toshiba will keep
supporting CH-DVD projects both in technology and market development. Blu-ray's
new success may also have the effect of accelerating adoption of this
alternate CH-DVD standard by Chinese domestic vendors and content providers.
In short, Blu-ray has some
unique challenges to overcome in China, and may have a time pressure given
China's faster growing alternatives to high definition video viewing.
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all information provided is sourced from CCID Consulting.
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