Mobile Phone Market In China:
Massive Scale Driven By Demand And Technology April 15, 2008
China's mobile phone shipments
in 2007 reached 150 million, growing 24.1% over 2006. If gray-market phones
are included, CCID Consulting estimates total shipments to exceed 200
million.
Source: CCID Consulting, january 2008
Extraordinary scale.
Over 60% of Chinese mobile
phone purchases (over 90 million) in 2007 were replacement purchases.
Shorter product lifecycles, increased functionality of new products, better
price-performance, and customized service provider offerings all drove
replacement purchases.
There were over 86 million
new Chinese mobile phone subscribers in 2007, a new record, which averaged
over 7 million per month. New subscriber growth came mainly from more rural
tier 3 and 4 cities, stimulated by mobile phone vendors' and service
providers' outreach efforts to realize those markets.
In 2007, there were 547
million mobile subscribers in China, which is 1.8 times the total population
in the U.S. With 3G, more segmented and varied product and service offerings
will even further drive growth.
More offerings to fuel
further growth; style important.
China's mobile phones
currently feature popular color screens, cameras and music. Development of
future integrated 3C—Computing, Communications, Consumer—offerings will
enhance/enable functions such as MP4, mobile TV, Blue tooth, GPS and WIFI.
Some functions may not be popularized. Realizing new functions currently
reside more at the service provider systems level, rather than mobile phone
hardware itself.
The Apple iPhone
demonstrated that the Internet is a platform from which new mobile functions
will arise. Motorola promotes the vision of "pocket Internet to realize the
wireless world." Regardless, wireless access to enable practical and
entertaining function serve to fuel even more China market growth.
Finally, vendors make phone
style important and trendy. Samsung offers the sliding phone, while Motorola
offers the super-slim design.
A large market,
commoditization, lowering prices, and channel competition all serve to
intensify mobile phone vendor competition. Vendor shakeout will cause the
eventual shift from focusing more on profits rather than market share.
China's 3G launch may serve to further enable stronger vendors to offer even
more in their products, as well as solidified partnerships among vendors,
channels and service providers.
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Unless otherwise specified,
all information provided is sourced from CCID Consulting.