China's Telecom Restructuring Opens
More Definitive Window For UPS Vendors Title
July 23, 2008
On May 24, 3008, China's
National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC), Ministry of Industry and
Information Technology, and the Ministry of Finance jointly issued the
"Announcement on Deepening the Reform of the Structure of the
Telecommunications Sector."
The principal goals of this
announcement is further reformation of China's telecom sector, which are to
support the formation of three telecom competitors where each has nationwide
network resources, comparable strength and scale, and full services
capabilities with enhanced competitiveness. Another goal is to grant 3G
licenses to these competitors.
More specifically, the
impact on existing telecom companies are as follows:
- China Telecom will
acquire China Unicom's CDMA network and China Satcom's basic telecom
business
- China Unicom and China
Netcom will merge
- China Mobile acquires
China Railway Communication
The three resultant
entities will be "new" China Telecom, China Unicom, and China Mobile.

Source: CCID Consulting, May 2008
The restructuring provides
a clearer pathway towards 3G, as each competitor will be supporting a form
of 3G, and hence, positioned to petition and receive 3G licenses.
China's UPS market a big
beneficiary.
Such telecom restructuring
will bring more opportunities to UPS manufacturers, as these larger telecom
entities will be making large-scale investments in 3G communications
equipment. Telecom is already a strategic, targeted industry for UPS
vendors.
"New" China Mobile will
execute its stage II TD construction with 40,000 base stations, and CCID
Consulting forecasts China Mobile will set up an additional 150,000 base
stations from 2009 to 2011. Combined, China Mobile's TD-CDMA base stations
will reach 200,000 with a total investment reaching 90 billion Yuan.
Assuming "new" China
Telecom and China Unicom will acquire their 3G CDMA 2000 and WCDMA license
respectively, their number of 3G base stations will increase by 150,000
during the period of 2008 to 2012.
Taking these factors into
account, investment for China's 3G network construction will peak within the
next five years. And, in 3G base station construction, UPS will be a key
component.
CCID Consulting data shows
that, in 2007, China's UPS revenues in telecom reached 750 million Yuan,
which was 26.6% of the total UPS revenues. Telecom was also the largest
industry sector, with a growth rate approaching 8%.
|
UPS by
Industry |
2007 Revenue
Share (%) |
|
Telecom |
26.6% |
|
Financial
Services |
24.8% |
|
Government |
11.6% |
|
Manufacturing |
9.9% |
|
Postal
Service |
4.9% |
|
Education |
4.5% |
|
Transportation |
4.3% |
|
Others |
13.4% |
|
Total |
100% |
Source: CCID Consulting, May 2008
CCID Consulting expects
China's new telecom entities to develop more definitive 3G development plans
upon this restructuring announcement. These plans, in turn, will drive
telecom equipment investment. UPS vendors (and telecom equipment vendors)
should be prepared to capitalize on this surge of telecom investment. Larger
UPS vendors would benefit by providing a more targeted, solutions approach
to this new 3G environment.
For more information
Please
contact us for these and
other China-related data, information and products.
Unless otherwise specified,
all information provided is sourced from CCID Consulting.
|